What Pension Plan Sponsors Should Watch in 2027

November 9, 2026

Strong funding levels have created new opportunities, but evolving risks continue to shape long-term plan sustainability.

As the new year approaches, many pension plan sponsors are entering 2027 from a position of relative strength. Improved funded ratios, higher interest rates and favorable market performance have created a level of financial flexibility not seen in some time.

Yet this is not a story about risk disappearing. Rather, it is a story about how risk is evolving.

For many employers, the key question is no longer how to recover from a funding deficit. It is how to build on today's stronger position while preparing for an environment that remains uncertain. Market volatility, inflation, cybersecurity threats and workforce pressures continue to test long-term sustainability. The decisions sponsors make now could shape plan outcomes for years to come.

As sponsors look ahead to 2027, several issues deserve particular attention:

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Market volatility remains a primary concern

Recent funding improvements have been supported in part by strong equity markets. While many plans have benefited from this performance, market gains can reverse quickly. Sponsors should evaluate whether their investment strategies remain aligned with their funding objectives and risk tolerance, particularly if recent gains have materially improved their funded position.

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Inflation continues to influence both costs and assumptions

Inflation remains a key driver of uncertainty. Wage growth, interest rates and cost of living adjustments all factor into plan expenses. Employers may find themselves revisiting assumptions more frequently as conditions evolve, especially if inflation remains above long-term targets.

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Investment strategies are becoming more complex

Many plans have increased allocations to private markets and other alternative investments in pursuit of diversification and enhanced returns. While these strategies may offer long-term benefits, they also introduce additional considerations related to fees, liquidity and transparency. As investment programs become more sophisticated, forward-thinking governance practices must evolve to keep pace. Changes in funded status should also prompt a review of the investment portfolio to confirm it remains aligned with the plan's evolving needs. For plans nearing full funding or evaluating a future plan termination, adjustments to the investment policy may be necessary to help support those objectives and reduce unnecessary risk.  

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Cybersecurity and operational risk are rising priorities

Pension plans hold significant financial assets and sensitive participant information, making them attractive targets for cyber threats. At the same time, increased digital access and technology modernization can create new vulnerabilities. Strengthening controls, enhancing vendor oversight and preparing for potential incidents are becoming essential components of pension governance.

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Budget pressures have not gone away

Even with stronger funded positions, pension costs continue to compete with other organizational priorities. The challenge for many employers is no longer simply improving funded status but sustaining progress while balancing ongoing budget demands and long-term commitments.

What to watch: public plan employers

For state and local organizations, pension management is closely tied to fiscal policy and public accountability, creating a unique set of considerations heading into 2027.

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Maintaining contribution discipline

Many public employers continue to face pressure from rising healthcare, infrastructure and operating costs. As budget priorities compete for limited resources, pension contributions may receive increased scrutiny. History has shown that funding gains can erode quickly when contribution policies become inconsistent.

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Preparing for economic uncertainty

Public plans remain highly exposed to market cycles given their scale and long investment horizons. A significant market downturn could reverse recent progress and increase future contribution requirements. Stress testing and scenario analysis can help decision-makers better understand potential risk and evaluate funding policies before challenges emerge.

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Addressing workforce challenges

Recruitment and retention concerns continue to influence public sector benefit strategies. Some employers are evaluating plan design changes or benefit enhancements to remain competitive in attracting and retaining talent. At the same time, the workforce supporting retirement plan administration may be approaching retirement, creating a risk of institutional knowledge loss. For many plans, administration outsourcing is emerging as a potential solution to help address staffing challenges and maintain operational continuity.

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Meeting growing expectations for transparency.

Public plans operate in a highly visible environment, with increasing expectations around disclosure, risk reporting and investment practices. Employers are being asked to demonstrate not only performance, but also the rationale behind key decisions and how risks are being managed.

What to watch: private plan employers

Private sector employers face a different set of pressures, driven by financial reporting, corporate strategy and risk management priorities. 

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Evaluating de-risking opportunities

Improved funded status has created opportunities for some organizations to revisit pension risk management strategies, including liability-driven investing and pension risk transfer transactions. The question is no longer whether these options are available, but whether current conditions make them attractive relative to maintaining growth-oriented investment exposure.

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Managing balance sheet volatility

Pension obligations continue to influence corporate financial statements. Changes in interest rates, discount rates and asset performance can create meaningful swings in liabilities and pension expense. As a result, pension strategy remains closely connected to broader financial and corporate objectives.

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Monitoring regulatory developments

Legislative and regulatory changes continue to shape the retirement landscape. Recent reforms, including provisions under SECURE 2.0, have introduced new considerations related to plan administration, funding and participant outcomes. Employers should remain attentive to evolving guidance and assess its potential impact on their retirement programs.

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Aligning retirement benefits with a workforce strategy

As labor markets continue to evolve, employers are reassessing how retirement benefits support recruitment, retention and employee financial well-being. Whether that leads to maintaining traditional pension plans, enhancing existing programs or adopting modern alternative plan designs, retirement benefits remain an important component of the overall employee value proposition.

Looking Ahead

The most successful pension sponsors in 2027 may not be those with the highest funded ratios, but those with the clearest understanding of their risks, opportunities and strategic priorities.

Recent funded status improvements provide valuable flexibility, but they should be viewed as an opportunity to strengthen long-term sustainability, not as a reason for complacency. Organizations that regularly revisit assumptions, evaluate emerging risks and maintain disciplined governance practices will be better positioned to navigate uncertainty and support their retirement programs well into the future.

This information is provided solely for educational purposes and is not to be construed as investment, legal or tax advice. Prior to acting on this information, we recommend that you seek independent advice specific to your situation from a qualified investment/legal/tax professional. | 2126.S1021.99032

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